![FRB: Front-End Term Premiums in Federal Funds Futures Rates and Implied Probabilities of Future Rate Hikes FRB: Front-End Term Premiums in Federal Funds Futures Rates and Implied Probabilities of Future Rate Hikes](https://www.federalreserve.gov/econresdata/notes/feds-notes/2016/gifjpg/kim-tanaka-fig2-20161118.png)
FRB: Front-End Term Premiums in Federal Funds Futures Rates and Implied Probabilities of Future Rate Hikes
![Kathy Jones on X: "The market has increased its expectations for the peak fed funds rate. The probability of a 75 basis point hike in November is nearly 100% based on market Kathy Jones on X: "The market has increased its expectations for the peak fed funds rate. The probability of a 75 basis point hike in November is nearly 100% based on market](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Fed-4WiUYAAUrrm.png)
Kathy Jones on X: "The market has increased its expectations for the peak fed funds rate. The probability of a 75 basis point hike in November is nearly 100% based on market
![Holger Zschaepitz on X: "Fed Funds Futures now pricing 50% probability of 50bps hike in March after ugly US inflation data. https://t.co/cqzeNyua3Q" / X Holger Zschaepitz on X: "Fed Funds Futures now pricing 50% probability of 50bps hike in March after ugly US inflation data. https://t.co/cqzeNyua3Q" / X](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FLPZZpwX0AMiI6s.png:large)
Holger Zschaepitz on X: "Fed Funds Futures now pricing 50% probability of 50bps hike in March after ugly US inflation data. https://t.co/cqzeNyua3Q" / X
Liz Ann Sonders on LinkedIn: Market-based probability of a March Fed rate cut has eased of late, but…
![Charlie Bilello on X: "What is the market (fed funds futures) saying? 88% probability of at least 4 rate hikes this year. So if you believe the Fed hikes less than 4x Charlie Bilello on X: "What is the market (fed funds futures) saying? 88% probability of at least 4 rate hikes this year. So if you believe the Fed hikes less than 4x](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FKj0niWWYAEZJYB.png)